• An Equilibrium Model of Credit Rating Agencies 

      Holden, Steinar; Natvik, Gisle James; Vigier, Adrien (Working Papers;23/2012, Working paper, 2012)
      We develop a model of credit rating agencies (CRAs) based on reputation concerns. Ratings affect investors' choice and, thereby, also issuers' access to funding and default risk. We show that - in equilibrium - the ...
    • Announcements of Interest Rate Forecasts: Do Policymakers Stick to Them? 

      Mirkov, Nikola; Natvik, Gisle James (Working Papers;11/2013, Working paper, 2013)
      If central banks value the ex-post accuracy of their forecasts, previously announced interest rate paths might affect the current policy rate. We explore whether this "forecast adherence" has influenced the monetary policies ...
    • Credit, Asset Prices and Monetary Policy 

      Brubakk, Leif; Natvik, Gisle James (Staff Memo;13/2010, Working paper, 2010)
      Based on the established literature, we develop a structural model for the Norwegian economy that incorporates feed-backs from asset prices and credit to the real economy. We then use this framework for policy analysis, ...
    • Do Re-Election Probabilities Influence Public Investment? 

      Fiva, Jon H.; Natvik, Gisle James (Working Papers;13/2009, Working paper, 2009)
      We identify exogenous variation in incumbent policymakers’ re-election probabilities and explore empirically how this variation affects the incumbents’ investment in physical capital. Our results indicate that a higher ...
    • Economic Uncertainty and the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy 

      Aastveit, Knut Are; Natvik, Gisle James; Sola, Sergio (Working Papers;17/2013, Working paper, 2013)
      This paper explores if economic uncertainty alters the macroeconomic influence of monetary policy. We consider several measures of U.S. economic uncertainty, and estimate their interaction effects with monetary policy ...
    • Explaining the Boom-Bust Cycle in the U.S. Housing Market: A Reverse-Engineering Approach 

      Gelain, Paolo; Lansing, Kevin J.; Natvik, Gisle James (Working Papers;11/2015, Working paper, 2015)
      We use a simple quantitative asset pricing model to "reverse-engineer" the sequences of stochastic shocks to housing demand and lending standards that are needed to exactly replicate the boom-bust patterns in U.S. household ...
    • Forventningsdrevet gjeldskrise og mottiltak 

      Natvik, Gisle James; Sauvik, Lene (Staff Memo;7/2013, Working paper, 2013)
      Vi diskuterer tiltakene for å dempe eurokrisen i lys av en enkel teori om forventningsdrevne gjeldskriser. [...] I dette notatet gir vi en enkel teoretisk fremstilling av forventningsdrevne gjeldskriser og hvordan ulike ...
    • Government Spending and the Taylor Principle 

      Natvik, Gisle James (Working Papers;11/2006, Working paper, 2006)
      This paper explores how government size affects the scope for equilibrium indeterminacy in a New Keynesian economy where part of the population live hand-to-mouth. I find that in this framework, a larger public sector may ...
    • Government Spending Shocks and Rule-Of-Thumb Consumers: The Role of Steady State Inequality 

      Natvik, Gisle James (Working Papers;14/2010, Working paper, 2010)
      Galí, López-Salido, and Vallés (2007) suggest that because part of the population follow a rule-of-thumb by which they spend their entire disposable income each period, private consumption responds positively to deficit-financed ...
    • Investment Shocks and Macroeconomic Co-Movement 

      Furlanetto, Francesco; Natvik, Gisle James; Seneca, Martin (Working Papers;14/2011, Working paper, 2011)
      Recent studies find that shocks to the marginal efficiency of investment are a main driver of business cycles. Yet, they struggle to explain why consumption co-moves with real variables such as investment and output, which ...
    • Leaning Against the Credit Cycle 

      Gelain, Paolo; Lansing, Kevin J.; Natvik, Gisle James (Working Papers;4/2015, Working paper, 2015)
      We study the interaction between monetary policy and household debt dynamics. To this end, we develop a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model where household debt is amortized gradually, and only new loans are ...
    • Om interaksjon mellom pengepolitikk og tidsvarierende makroregulering av finanssektoren 

      Natvik, Gisle James (Staff Memo;11/2011, Working paper, 2011)
      Finanskrisen har skapt en forholdsvis bred konsensus om at eksisterende regulering av finansmarkedene har rettet for mye oppmerksomhet mot de individuelle finansinstitusjoners risiko, og for lite oppmerksomhet mot risikoen ...
    • Petro Populism 

      Matsen, Egil; Natvik, Gisle James; Torvik, Ragnar (Working Papers;6/2012, Working paper, 2012)
      We aim to explain petro populism - the excessive use of oil revenues to buy political support. To reap the full gains of natural resource income politicians need to remain in office over time. Hence, even a purely rent-seeking ...
    • That Uncertain Feeling - How Consumption Responds to Economic Uncertainty in Norway 

      Gudmundsson, Jørgen; Natvik, Gisle James (Staff Memo;23/2012, Working paper, 2012)
      Economic theory predicts that higher uncertainty motivates households to consume less. In this paper we empirically assess how household consumption in Norway responds to variation in economic uncertainty. We consider ...
    • The Political Economy of Fiscal Deficits and Government Production 

      Natvik, Gisle James (Working Papers;7/2009, Working paper, 2009)
      This paper analyzes a framework where policymakers decide how to spend public resources on physical capital and labor in order to produce two public goods. Candidate policymakers disagree about which goods to produce, and ...
    • Voting When the Stakes Are High 

      Andersen, Jørgen Juel; Fiva, Jon H.; Natvik, Gisle James (Working Papers;15/2010, Working paper, 2010)
      Rational choice theories of electoral participation stress that an individual's decision to vote depends on her expected net benefit from doing so. If this instrumental motive is relevant, then turnout should be higher in ...